MORAIDICTIONNAIRE IA
Risques & Éthique

Underfitting

When a model is too simple to capture the data's patterns: it learns too little.

Underfitting happens when a model is too simple to capture the patterns in the data. It is the student who barely revised: they fail both the mock exam (training data) and the final exam (test data). The model stays biased, unable to grasp the true relationship between inputs and outputs.

The symptom: failure on both fronts

Unlike overfitting, underfitting shows up as high error everywhere — on training and on validation alike. The model never even managed to fit what it was shown. We call this high bias.

A model's expected error can be decomposed as:

$$ \mathbb{E}[(y - \hat{f}(x))^2] = \underbrace{\text{Bias}^2}{\text{underfitting}} + \underbrace{\text{Variance}} + \sigma^2 $$}

Underfitting is dominated by the bias term.

Underfitting vs overfitting

Criterion Underfitting Overfitting
Training error High Very low
Test error High High
Cause Model too simple Model too complex
Dominant term Bias Variance

How to fix it

A good model walks a ridge: too simple, it ignores the signal; too complex, it memorizes the noise. Underfitting means staying on the wrong side of that ridge.

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